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Covid-19 tracker: the pace continues


Hello, Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your (somewhat regular) Covid-19 data dump.

Regardless of the measure – infections, hospitalizations, positivity rates and R-numbers – San Francisco seems to be still in the heart of the omicron woods.

First the good news. Local data scientist Peter Khoury reports the number of new infections seems to be slowing down. Don’t go down, notice, but don’t go up as fast as it has been.

Too bad for the good news.

Hope you read Annie’s article about the lack of protection for local restaurant workers. In it, San Francisco “health official” Dr Susan Philip said that instead of providing protection, the city provides “information”. She explained that the city is encouraging people to improve their protection with more “readily available” masking options, “thus prioritizing our health workers to [N95s] to ensure that they remain available and that essential workers have access to those in the city. Is she saying that nearly two years after the start of the pandemic, the City must accumulate high quality masks “easily accessible” to prioritize health workers? Oh good? Which local hospitals do not provide their workers with sufficient personal protective equipment? Is Phillip saying that restaurant workers, especially cooks, (who were among the hardest hit in 2020) are no longer considered “essential?” ”

Lack of personal protective equipment may have been one of the “Deplorable working conditions” which prompted Kaiser’s workers to threaten a strike a few months ago. In 2020, new analysis shows Kaiser Permanente registered the most complaints about workers security, more than double the number of the next highest establishment.

Covid, and now especially omicron, displayed graphically understaffing, underpayment and unsafe working conditions for hospital workers.

Biden COVID-19 transition advisory board members have spoken on the administration’s failure to do little beyond promoting the vaccine. Much of what they have to say is about building a functioning public health system. Although they make a number of positive points, including community health workers, they make no mention of improving working conditions, increasing wages and increasing staff in the communities. hospitals and throughout industry.

It’s joke time. Remember Biden’s plan to have your insurer reimburse you for the extremely expensive rapid tests (assuming you can find one)? Here is a story from someone who tried.

I can’t leave you on the numbers without going back to Dr Phillip’s claim that DPH provides information. In an age where improved hospitalization data is needed, particularly on how many patients have been treated for covid, and how many have come to the hospital for something else and then tested positive, DPH provides the absolute minimum. In fact, we get less information on hospital conditions than in 2020. In addition, DPH provides limited, ambiguous, or opaque information on covid in schools, and no information on epidemics in the city, research on the epidemics. contacts or resources available for isolation (if any). Looks like “information” is diminishing.

Scroll down for today’s covid numbers.

Data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control used for the chart lags behind data provided by the San Francisco Department of Public Health. As of January 6, DPH reports more than 88 percent of all San Francisco residents received a dose, and more 81 percent received two. For residents 5 years and older, DPH reports that the numbers exceed 90 percent and above 85 percent and more than 90 percent people 65 and over received two doses. The SFDPH reports that as of January 6, approximately 400 395 residents (56 percent of all residents) received a COVID-19 booster dose including 77 percent residents aged 65 and over, 66 percent for 50-64 year olds, 61 percent for 35-49 years old and 46 percent for 16-34. To find out where to get vaccinated in and around the Mission, visit our Vaccination page.

Despite less than last winter, hospitalizations are increasing rapidly. On January 3, DPH reports that hospitalizations for covid jumped to 112, or about 12.8 per 100,000 (based on a population of 874,000), including 23 now in intensive care. The California Department of Public Health is currently reporting 113 covid patients in SF hospitals with 24 in USI. Note: SFDPH refuses to provide (or is unable to provide) demographic information on covid patients, how many are in hospital for covid and how many are in hospital for some other reason and tested positive on entry, or the number of vaxxed and unvaxxed covid patients.

The latest report from the Federal Department of Health and Human Services shows that the Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital 11 patients with covid and ten intensive care beds available, while throughout the mission the CPMC had 3 patients with covid and 6 Intensive care beds available. Of 52 reported covid patients, 37 were at SFGH or UCSF, with at least 91 Intensive care beds available from reporting hospitals (which does not include the Veterans Administration). The California DPH is currently reporting 114 patients with covid and 97 Intensive care beds available in San Francisco.

Note: DPH uses dated population counts for neighborhoods. Between November 3 and January 2, DPH recorded 1242 infections among mission residents or 211 infections per 10,000 residents. The high number (the highest in town) may be in part due to the ongoing testing on 24th Street. Only Sunset / Parkside has over 1,000 infections. The marina continues to have the highest rate, with 291 infections per 10,000 inhabitants. Along with the Mission and the Marina, 13 other neighborhoods have rates above 200 per 10,000 inhabitants, including Mission Bay, Russian Hill, Hayes Valley, FiDi / South Beach, Potrero Hill, Pacific Heights, SOMA, Haight Ashbury, North Beach, Bayview Hunters Point, Western Addition, Lone Mountain / USF and Twin Peaks.

On December 30, the 7-day average of new daily infections recorded in the city was 1140 or around 130.43 new infections per day per 100,000 inhabitants (based on a population of 874,000). The mean 7-day infection rate among vaccinated residents was 126.4 per 100,000 vaccinated inhabitants and for unvaccinated inhabitants, 186 per 100,000 unvaccinated inhabitants.

For the month of December, DPH reports 5 640 infections among white residents of SF, 37.9 percent of total, Latinxs, 2,891 infections, 19.4 percent, Asians 3 386 infections, 22.7 percent, Black 844 infections, 5.7 percent, Multiracial 246 infections, 1.7 percent, Pacific Islanders 172 infections, 1.2 percent, and the Native Americans had 50 infections, 0.3 percent of December totals.

Between November 3 and January 2, DPH recorded a 6.8 percent positivity rate in the Mission. The Marina had a positivity rate of 10.5 percent, the only quarter above 10 percent. Twelve neighborhoods had rates above 7%. The neighborhood with the lowest rate was Glen Park (4.3 percent) and Lakeshore, the only neighborhood in the city with less than 50 percent of its residents vaccinated, recorded a rate of 4.7 percent.

Another covid-related death in December and 2 new deaths in January were recorded.

Covid R estimate lowered his San Francisco R Number below 2 to 1.96 and slightly lowered his California R number to 2.03. the together raised his average for the San Francisco R Number to a questionable level 1.27, while posting an average California R Number of 1.53. Set includes A model which shows a number .69 and LEMMA (a collaborative effort between individuals primarily from UC Berkeley and UCSF) which publishes a 1.01 number.

One of the reasons that the number of hospitalizations may have been ‘decoupled’ from the number of infections is that we are not seeing the nursing home outbreaks that we saw in 2020. In December, the DPH n ‘recorded only 9 infections and 2 deaths related to covid in 19’ skilled nurses. facilities. “Single-occupancy hotels (ORS) recorded 182 infections and 0 covid-related deaths in December. Another death was added in January. Among those without housing, 121 December infections and a pandemic total of seven covid-related deaths have been reported.